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Diaxde Volunteers

$100,000 per Barrel Oil

Please note that this is only an interesting thought experiment to illustrate the huge potential for oil’s price escalation.

Assumptions:

  1. Every percentage change of supply (while holding demand constant) or demand (while holding supply constant) results in roughly a 10 to 30 percent change in price. I heard that this tends to be the experience of long time commodities traders. Citation welcomed. But given that both the price elasticity of demand and supply for oil is very inelastic, this assumption sounds reasonable.

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When USSR Disintegration Meets Japan's Lost Decade

In one word – China.

The recent international media's reporting on suicides and labor unrest at the 400,000 employee Foxconn factory near Shenzhen got me thinking. Here are some gathered notes and musings:

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Newsflash

Former president Chen Shui-bian’s (陳水扁) office yesterday issued a statement denying allegations that Chen had taken advantage of his overseas trips to transport cash abroad.

The statement came in response to a story published by the Chinese-language China Times yesterday that quoted Palauan President Johnson Toribiong as saying that an unidentified wire of NT$1.4 billion (US$40 million) was routed through Palau’s Pacific Savings Bank in 2005 to the US and other countries.