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Diaxde Volunteers

$100,000 per Barrel Oil

Please note that this is only an interesting thought experiment to illustrate the huge potential for oil’s price escalation.

Assumptions:

  1. Every percentage change of supply (while holding demand constant) or demand (while holding supply constant) results in roughly a 10 to 30 percent change in price. I heard that this tends to be the experience of long time commodities traders. Citation welcomed. But given that both the price elasticity of demand and supply for oil is very inelastic, this assumption sounds reasonable.

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When USSR Disintegration Meets Japan's Lost Decade

In one word – China.

The recent international media's reporting on suicides and labor unrest at the 400,000 employee Foxconn factory near Shenzhen got me thinking. Here are some gathered notes and musings:

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Newsflash

The Taiwan Thinktank yesterday urged the government to postpone the implementation of an economic cooperation framework agreement (ECFA) it wants to sign with Beijing until Taiwan signs free trade agreements (FTAs) with the US or Japan and they go into effect.

Taiwan Thinktank chairman Chen Po-chih (陳博志) said Taiwan would be better off if the ECFA were not signed, but if it is signed, it would be better to wait until after Taipei inks FTAs with Washington or Tokyo and they become effective.